Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 1319 at 15:05, with a 27% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1319 Southwest	BUR 15:05	ABQ 18:06	27%	8%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	BUR 13:45 → SFO 15:13UA 1453	3h 33m San Francisco	SFO 18:46 → ABQ 22:29UA 5289 · flown by SkyWest	7h 44m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	1h 52m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest	5h 37m	95%	72%
United Details →	BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488	3h 39m San Francisco	SFO 12:09 → ABQ 15:43UA 1597	7h 41m	99%	68%
American Details →	BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599	3h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:00 → ABQ 16:54AA 9	8h 53m	98%	62%
United Details →	BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187	3h 04m Denver	DEN 19:20 → ABQ 20:44UA 484	6h 56m	95%	51%
American Details →	BUR 12:22 → DFW 17:34AA 1208	2h 57m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:31 → ABQ 21:33AA 1321	8h 11m	95%	50%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	BUR 16:54 → SLC 19:50DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest	55m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:45 → ABQ 22:30DL 3729 · flown by SkyWest	4h 36m	74%	57%
American Details →	BUR 12:22 → DFW 17:34AA 1208	48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:22 → ABQ 19:16AA 2698	5h 54m	37%	20%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON