Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: AS 3283 at 17:17 is the safest bet, 16% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 29%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AS 3283 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history →	BUR 17:17	BOI 20:25	16%	7%	0.8%	92%
WN 1390 Southwest	BUR 16:35	BOI 19:38	29%	9%	1.0%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boise on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562	1h 03m Portland	PDX 10:30 → BOI 12:49AS 2089 · flown by Horizon	4h 40m	93%	88%
Alaska Details →	BUR 10:55 → SEA 13:29AS 1388	2h 16m Seattle	SEA 15:45 → BOI 18:11AS 2061 · flown by Horizon	6h 16m	91%	81%
Delta Details →	BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582	1h 01m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:02 → BOI 12:17DL 2095	4h 17m	93%	80%
Delta Details →	BUR 16:54 → SLC 19:50DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest	3h 00m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:50 → BOI 00:05 +1DL 2111	6h 11m	98%	76%
Alaska Details →	BUR 07:18 → SEA 09:37AS 491	3h 19m Seattle	SEA 12:56 → BOI 15:25AS 467	7h 07m	97%	73%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	1h 04m Salt Lake City	SLC 16:37 → BOI 17:51DL 2920	4h 16m	89%	68%
Alaska Details →	BUR 18:10 → PDX 20:25AS 649	1h 14m Portland	PDX 21:39 → BOI 00:01 +1AS 447	4h 51m	80%	64%
Alaska Details →	BUR 16:54 → SEA 19:28AS 537	2h 03m Seattle	SEA 21:31 → BOI 00:01 +1AS 445	6h 07m	84%	60%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	BUR 13:45 → SFO 15:13UA 1453	1h 25m San Francisco	SFO 16:38 → BOI 19:26UA 5720 · flown by SkyWest	4h 41m	74%	49%
United Details →	BUR 18:42 → SFO 20:10UA 1508	49m San Francisco	SFO 20:59 → BOI 23:55UA 6027 · flown by SkyWest	4h 13m	55%	43%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON