Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AS 2050 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	BZN 13:50	SAN 15:34	33%	4%	0.0%	67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Bozeman). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BZN 05:15 → SLC 06:34DL 491	1h 11m Salt Lake City	SLC 07:45 → SAN 08:41DL 1177	4h 26m	92%	77%
Delta Details →	BZN 06:00 → MSP 09:11DL 1678	2h 27m Minneapolis	MSP 11:38 → SAN 13:24DL 2125	8h 24m	95%	75%
Delta Details →	BZN 08:25 → SEA 09:28DL 4092 · flown by SkyWest	2h 46m Seattle	SEA 12:14 → SAN 15:16DL 2572	7h 51m	96%	74%
United Details →	BZN 06:30 → DEN 08:24UA 1362	2h 51m Denver	DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940	7h 11m	94%	68%
Delta Details →	BZN 15:38 → SEA 16:36DL 4104 · flown by SkyWest	3h 04m Seattle	SEA 19:40 → SAN 22:34DL 2672	7h 56m	97%	66%
Delta Details →	BZN 13:36 → MSP 16:52DL 2946	1h 58m Minneapolis	MSP 18:50 → SAN 20:36DL 2145	8h 00m	94%	65%
Delta Details →	BZN 19:30 → SLC 20:55DL 3676 · flown by SkyWest	2h 00m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:55 → SAN 23:50DL 1202	5h 20m	94%	63%
United Details →	BZN 16:17 → SFO 17:50UA 1702	3h 11m San Francisco	SFO 21:01 → SAN 22:44UA 442	7h 27m	95%	61%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON