tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4652 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 06:00 DTW 07:55 10% 5% 0.8% 90%
DL 5117 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 15:00 DTW 16:58 21% 12% 0.0% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:40 → ATL 07:40DL 3057 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240 6h 16m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → CHA 05:00 → CLT 06:32AA 5866 · flown by Piedmont 48m Charlotte CLT 07:20 → DTW 09:07AA 2582 4h 07m 94% 83%
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:04 → LGA 08:15DL 4890 · flown by Endeavor 1h 10m New York LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078 5h 20m 91% 79%
DeltaDetails → CHA 10:01 → ATL 11:02DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 14:00 → DTW 15:55DL 1031 5h 54m 97% 79%
UnitedDetails → CHA 06:00 → ORD 06:59UA 4540 · flown by GoJet 3h 51m Chicago ORD 10:50 → DTW 13:27UA 5756 · flown by SkyWest 7h 27m 98% 79%
UnitedDetails → CHA 07:00 → IAH 08:23UA 5086 · flown by SkyWest 1h 22m Houston IAH 09:45 → DTW 13:42UA 4064 · flown by Mesa 6h 42m 87% 77%
AmericanDetails → CHA 08:18 → CLT 09:55AA 6105 · flown by Piedmont 1h 24m Charlotte CLT 11:19 → DTW 13:06AA 1683 4h 48m 92% 76%
AmericanDetails → CHA 09:19 → CLT 10:56AA 6050 · flown by Piedmont 3h 19m Charlotte CLT 14:15 → DTW 16:07AA 1134 6h 48m 100% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → CHA 20:10 → CLT 21:44AA 6049 · flown by Piedmont 1h 07m Charlotte CLT 22:51 → DTW 00:41 +1AA 370 4h 31m 66% 44%
UnitedDetails → CHA 13:53 → ORD 14:55UA 4571 · flown by GoJet 1h 03m Chicago ORD 15:58 → DTW 18:20UA 2632 4h 27m 74% 39%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON