Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 71 nonstops
Sun, Oct 11: WN 2905 at 05:05 is the safest bet, 3% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 42–72%.
Every nonstop on Sun, Oct 11
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort. Dimmed: airlines we don’t forecast yet, shown with their 12-month record if they usually fly that weekday.
| WN 2905 Southwest | MDW 05:05 | LGA 08:15 | 3% | 1% | 1.3% | no record |
| UA 2617 United Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | LGA 09:11 | 7% | 3% | 1.3% | 89% |
| YX 5662 Republic | ORD 06:05 | JFK 09:18 | 8% | 2% | 1.3% | no record |
| UA 1027 United | ORD 05:59 | EWR 09:06 | 9% | 3% | 1.2% | no record |
| UA 2092 United Flight history → | ORD 07:59 | LGA 11:16 | 10% | 5% | 1.5% | 86% |
| UA 1657 United Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | LGA 10:17 | 10% | 4% | 1.5% | 82% |
| AA 1264 American Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | LGA 09:14 | 10% | 3% | 1.7% | 62% |
| UA 2759 United Flight history → | ORD 04:54 | EWR 08:01 | 11% | 3% | 1.3% | 47% |
| WN 1895 Southwest | MDW 08:57 | LGA 11:56 | 11% | 3% | 1.5% | no record |
| AA 2723 American Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | LGA 10:16 | 12% | 4% | 2.0% | 79% |
| AA 699 American | ORD 06:46 | EWR 09:59 | 13% | 4% | 2.2% | no record |
| UA 1273 United | ORD 07:45 | EWR 10:46 | 14% | 5% | 1.4% | no record |
| WN 3737 Southwest | MDW 10:10 | LGA 13:20 | 15% | 5% | 2.4% | no record |
| DL 2633 Delta Flight history → | ORD 08:00 | LGA 11:12 | 15% | 4% | 2.0% | 77% |
| DL 2251 Delta | ORD 09:32 | LGA 12:42 | 15% | 5% | 2.3% | no record |
| B6 906 JetBlue Flight history → | ORD 07:10 | JFK 10:19 | 15% | 4% | 1.8% | 88% |
| AA 2941 American | ORD 08:22 | LGA 11:48 | 16% | 5% | 1.8% | no record |
| AA 4590 American flown by Republic Flight history → | ORD 08:00 | JFK 10:59 | 17% | 3% | 1.2% | 70% |
| UA 2238 United | ORD 08:55 | EWR 12:00 | 19% | 7% | 1.3% | no record |
| UA 1258 United Flight history → | ORD 08:56 | LGA 12:08 | 20% | 7% | 1.5% | 76% |
| UA 669 United Flight history → | ORD 10:03 | LGA 13:26 | 20% | 10% | 2.1% | 82% |
| DL 2917 Delta Flight history → | ORD 10:30 | LGA 13:48 | 21% | 8% | 2.7% | 72% |
| DL 2985 Delta Flight history → | ORD 11:30 | LGA 15:00 | 23% | 9% | 3.1% | 78% |
| UA 1856 United Flight history → | ORD 10:51 | EWR 14:17 | 24% | 11% | 1.7% | 80% |
| UA 529 United | ORD 10:58 | LGA 14:09 | 25% | 13% | 2.0% | no record |
| AA 3128 American Flight history → | ORD 10:12 | LGA 13:26 | 25% | 8% | 3.0% | 71% |
| AA 2416 American | ORD 10:05 | EWR 13:13 | 26% | 9% | 3.0% | no record |
| UA 786 United | ORD 11:57 | LGA 15:08 | 28% | 12% | 2.0% | no record |
| WN 2908 Southwest | MDW 12:55 | LGA 16:05 | 28% | 9% | 2.5% | no record |
| UA 606 United Flight history → | ORD 12:11 | EWR 15:39 | 30% | 14% | 1.8% | 78% |
| AA 903 American | ORD 11:30 | LGA 14:44 | 30% | 11% | 2.9% | no record |
| WN 3564 Southwest | MDW 14:40 | LGA 17:49 | 32% | 12% | 2.5% | no record |
| UA 2189 United Flight history → | ORD 13:00 | LGA 16:22 | 34% | 17% | 2.0% | 65% |
| AA 3163 American Flight history → | ORD 12:50 | LGA 16:17 | 34% | 12% | 3.6% | 68% |
| B6 1006 JetBlue | ORD 10:59 | JFK 14:09 | 35% | 9% | 2.3% | no record |
| AA 512 American | ORD 13:49 | LGA 17:03 | 37% | 15% | 3.4% | no record |
| UA 1821 United Flight history → | ORD 14:00 | LGA 17:22 | 39% | 20% | 4.0% | 65% |
| AA 2485 American Flight history → | ORD 13:45 | JFK 17:10 | 39% | 15% | 3.0% | 65% |
| AA 3225 American | ORD 11:36 | JFK 14:44 | 40% | 11% | 2.9% | no record |
| DL 1631 Delta | ORD 14:31 | LGA 17:40 | 41% | 18% | 4.5% | no record |
| WN 661 Southwest | MDW 17:45 | LGA 20:54 | 42% | 11% | 5.9% | no record |
| AA 1936 American Flight history → | ORD 13:10 | EWR 16:30 | 43% | 18% | 3.8% | 65% |
| WN 575 Southwest | MDW 19:25 | LGA 22:34 | 44% | 11% | 5.0% | no record |
| UA 2133 United | ORD 15:23 | LGA 18:43 | 44% | 20% | 3.7% | no record |
| UA 1209 United Flight history → | ORD 21:30 | EWR 00:53 | 45% | 14% | 2.0% | 68%worse than usual |
| AA 866 American | ORD 15:11 | LGA 18:25 | 45% | 19% | 5.2% | no record |
| DL 2503 Delta Flight history → | ORD 20:10 | LGA 23:44 | 47% | 19% | 2.9% | 58% |
| UA 2466 United | ORD 14:11 | EWR 17:32 | 47% | 23% | 3.7% | no record |
| UA 759 United Flight history → | ORD 20:07 | EWR 23:39 | 48% | 19% | 2.3% | 65%worse than usual |
| AA 1166 American Flight history → | ORD 20:18 | LGA 23:45 | 48% | 17% | 3.5% | 52% |
| UA 511 United | ORD 16:20 | LGA 19:42 | 49% | 24% | 3.2% | no record |
| UA 1236 United | ORD 15:23 | EWR 18:40 | 50% | 22% | 3.8% | no record |
| UA 2827 United | ORD 20:09 | LGA 23:28 | 50% | 20% | 2.1% | no record |
| UA 2605 United Flight history → | ORD 18:25 | LGA 21:54 | 51% | 22% | 1.9% | 54% |
| DL 1390 Delta Flight history → | ORD 19:05 | LGA 22:34 | 51% | 20% | 2.0% | 64%worse than usual |
| UA 456 United | ORD 17:20 | LGA 20:42 | 52% | 22% | 2.9% | no record |
| DL 2226 Delta Flight history → | ORD 17:40 | LGA 20:49 | 53% | 19% | 3.3% | 57% |
| AA 2549 American Flight history → | ORD 20:09 | EWR 23:30 | 54% | 23% | 3.7% | 45% |
| AA 2224 American | ORD 15:59 | JFK 19:07 | 54% | 21% | 5.0% | no record |
| AA 673 American Flight history → | ORD 16:49 | LGA 20:03 | 55% | 24% | 6.2% | 47% |
| UA 1630 United Flight history → | ORD 17:27 | EWR 20:50 | 55% | 24% | 3.6% | 70%worse than usual |
| UA 249 United | ORD 16:20 | EWR 19:42 | 55% | 26% | 3.9% | no record |
| AA 774 American Flight history → | ORD 18:11 | LGA 21:24 | 57% | 21% | 2.9% | 58%worse than usual |
| AA 3253 American Flight history → | ORD 17:36 | EWR 21:00 | 58% | 27% | 6.3% | 47% |
| UA 2458 United Flight history → | ORD 17:57 | LGA 21:08 | 59% | 23% | 3.0% | 46% |
| UA 2790 United | ORD 17:57 | EWR 21:04 | 61% | 23% | 3.8% | no record |
| UA 3810 United | ORD 16:20 | EWR 19:06 | 65% | 27% | 5.8% | no record |
| B6 8782 JetBlue | ORD 16:56 | EWR 20:02 | 72% | 29% | 7.9% | no record |
| DL 4725 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | ORD 10:05 | JFK 13:30 | 27% | 16% | 6.2% | 73% |
| DL 5035 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | ORD 13:00 | JFK 16:37 | 29% | 14% | 11.6% | 71% |
| DL 4783 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | ORD 18:00 | JFK 21:40 | 51% | 22% | 23.6% | 49% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON