Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 24 nonstops
Sun, Oct 11: AA 2984 at 05:00 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 43–61%.
Every nonstop on Sun, Oct 11
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| AA 2984 American Flight history → | ORD 05:00 | MIA 09:09 | 8% | 3% | 1.0% | 94% |
| AA 2452 American Flight history → | ORD 05:59 | MIA 10:01 | 13% | 3% | 2.6% | 96% |
| UA 1358 United Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | MIA 11:24 | 17% | 4% | 1.5% | 85% |
| WN 2913 Southwest | MDW 08:12 | FLL 12:13 | 18% | 4% | 2.3% | no record |
| AA 1875 American Flight history → | ORD 07:09 | MIA 11:20 | 19% | 4% | 1.9% | 88% |
| WN 2198 Southwest | MDW 07:40 | MIA 11:47 | 20% | 4% | 3.1% | no record |
| UA 1421 United Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | FLL 11:13 | 20% | 5% | 2.0% | 91%worse than usual |
| AA 1424 American Flight history → | ORD 06:53 | FLL 11:02 | 24% | 7% | 2.5% | 77% |
| AA 1250 American Flight history → | ORD 08:30 | MIA 12:45 | 29% | 6% | 4.3% | 75% |
| UA 279 United Flight history → | ORD 10:59 | FLL 15:13 | 31% | 11% | 1.0% | 76% |
| B6 664 JetBlue Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | FLL 11:14 | 33% | 10% | 4.2% | 89%worse than usual |
| WN 4854 Southwest | MDW 12:55 | FLL 16:57 | 35% | 10% | 1.7% | no record |
| UA 1620 United Flight history → | ORD 10:33 | MIA 14:57 | 37% | 12% | 3.4% | 77%worse than usual |
| F9 2205 Frontier Flight history → | ORD 08:05 | FLL 12:22 | 39% | 13% | 3.4% | 68% |
| AA 2689 American | ORD 10:06 | MIA 14:09 | 41% | 10% | 6.1% | no record |
| WN 3073 Southwest | MDW 19:55 | FLL 23:56 | 43% | 13% | 2.4% | no record |
| UA 1294 United | ORD 12:22 | FLL 16:25 | 43% | 14% | 1.3% | no record |
| B6 864 JetBlue Flight history → | ORD 14:35 | FLL 18:49 | 53% | 23% | 4.3% | 67%worse than usual |
| AA 1159 American | ORD 19:10 | MIA 23:31 | 55% | 18% | 2.0% | no record |
| AA 2881 American Flight history → | ORD 17:07 | FLL 21:26 | 55% | 21% | 4.2% | 62%worse than usual |
| AA 1431 American Flight history → | ORD 14:30 | MIA 18:33 | 56% | 16% | 4.6% | 77%worse than usual |
| UA 463 United | ORD 18:05 | FLL 22:15 | 56% | 24% | 1.5% | no record |
| AA 2323 American Flight history → | ORD 16:43 | MIA 21:07 | 59% | 23% | 5.6% | 61%worse than usual |
| AA 3040 American | ORD 17:39 | MIA 22:03 | 61% | 23% | 5.2% | no record |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON