Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 28–35% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


MX 1833 Breeze	CHS 22:13	FLL 00:01	28%	7%	5.6%	no record
B6 1131 JetBlue Flight history →	CHS 18:30	FLL 20:10	35%	15%	3.5%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055	1h 48m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094	4h 49m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124	4h 00m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	7h 05m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	CHS 08:20 → ATL 09:34DL 789	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 12:43 → FLL 14:39DL 1341	6h 19m	99%	73%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:58 → LGA 08:57DL 5093 · flown by Endeavor	1h 58m New York	LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181	6h 56m	96%	70%
Delta Details →	CHS 09:30 → ATL 10:54DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor	2h 51m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413	6h 11m	100%	70%
United Details →	CHS 06:00 → EWR 07:59UA 1289	57m Newark	EWR 08:56 → FLL 12:10UA 2151	6h 10m	92%	68%
American Details →	CHS 06:58 → CLT 08:03AA 3298	2h 56m Charlotte	CLT 10:59 → FLL 13:01AA 2585	6h 03m	92%	67%
American Details →	CHS 06:44 → DFW 08:40AA 1435	1h 44m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:24 → FLL 14:24AA 1390	7h 40m	97%	65%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	CHS 18:23 → CLT 19:32AA 3117	1h 08m Charlotte	CLT 20:40 → FLL 22:49AA 2945	4h 26m	71%	44%
JetBlue Details →	CHS 15:00 → BOS 17:24B6 68	46m Boston	BOS 18:10 → FLL 21:33B6 369	6h 33m	58%	30%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON