Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 17:37, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	CHS 17:37	MSP 19:39	22%	7%	0.9%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055	1h 08m Atlanta	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	4h 50m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124	1h 19m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	5h 03m	96%	84%
United Details →	CHS 06:00 → ORD 07:33UA 2333	1h 17m Chicago	ORD 08:50 → MSP 10:36UA 2805	5h 36m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	CHS 07:24 → DTW 09:30DL 5092 · flown by Endeavor	2h 32m Detroit	DTW 12:02 → MSP 12:55DL 9961	6h 31m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:13 → JFK 08:11DL 5445 · flown by Endeavor	3h 24m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	8h 37m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:58 → LGA 08:57DL 5093 · flown by Endeavor	2h 13m New York	LGA 11:10 → MSP 13:10DL 2409	7h 12m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	CHS 08:20 → ATL 09:34DL 789	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 30m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	CHS 09:30 → ATL 10:54DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	7h 36m	100%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	CHS 11:13 → EWR 13:15UA 674	52m Newark	EWR 14:07 → MSP 16:05UA 424	5h 52m	75%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON