Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2518 at 05:50, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2518 Delta Flight history →	CID 05:50	ATL 08:52	12%	4%	1.1%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CID 06:33 → MSP 07:47DL 5248 · flown by Endeavor	2h 45m Minneapolis	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	6h 31m	98%	84%
American Details →	CID 05:02 → ORD 06:19AA 3430 · flown by Envoy	2h 04m Chicago	ORD 08:23 → ATL 11:37AA 851	5h 35m	97%	77%
American Details →	CID 04:54 → DFW 07:11AA 3564 · flown by Envoy	2h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:30 → ATL 12:55AA 1276	7h 01m	96%	76%
Delta Details →	CID 12:05 → MSP 13:19DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	3h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:05DL 1036	8h 00m	99%	76%
Delta Details →	CID 16:34 → MSP 17:39DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	2h 10m Minneapolis	MSP 19:49 → ATL 23:44DL 1032	6h 10m	94%	72%
United Details →	CID 08:50 → DEN 10:04UA 1500	3h 22m Denver	DEN 13:26 → ATL 18:30UA 1671	8h 40m	96%	66%
American Details →	CID 12:34 → DFW 14:52AA 4297 · flown by Envoy	1h 13m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:05 → ATL 19:30AA 2403	5h 56m	100%	61%
United Details →	CID 15:16 → DEN 16:31UA 514	1h 37m Denver	DEN 18:08 → ATL 23:14UA 248	6h 58m	86%	51%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CID 16:34 → MSP 17:39DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	58m Minneapolis	MSP 18:37 → ATL 22:28DL 1026	4h 54m	73%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON