Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, AA 1039 at 06:17, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 1039 American Flight history →	CID 06:17	CLT 09:35	15%	8%	2.1%	89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CID 06:33 → MSP 07:47DL 5248 · flown by Endeavor	2h 43m Minneapolis	MSP 10:30 → CLT 13:57DL 2819	6h 24m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	CID 05:50 → ATL 08:52DL 2518	1h 18m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190	4h 36m	92%	80%
American Details →	CID 05:02 → ORD 06:19AA 3430 · flown by Envoy	2h 40m Chicago	ORD 08:59 → CLT 11:56AA 2080	5h 54m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	CID 16:34 → MSP 17:39DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	2h 35m Minneapolis	MSP 20:14 → CLT 23:44DL 2929	6h 10m	97%	76%
American Details →	CID 04:54 → DFW 07:11AA 3564 · flown by Envoy	2h 47m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:58 → CLT 13:33AA 2493	7h 39m	96%	74%
Delta Details →	CID 12:05 → MSP 13:19DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	1h 56m Minneapolis	MSP 15:15 → CLT 18:49DL 2821	5h 44m	93%	73%
American Details →	CID 12:34 → DFW 14:52AA 4297 · flown by Envoy	1h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:58 → CLT 19:33AA 2013	5h 59m	100%	62%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	CID 15:16 → DEN 16:31UA 514	1h 14m Denver	DEN 17:45 → CLT 23:08UA 616	6h 52m	74%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON