Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: Delta via Detroit, leaving 10:26, is the safest bet: 64% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2207 Delta Flight history →	CLE 07:28	SLC 09:26	10%	3%	0.6%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Cleveland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLE 06:00 → MSP 07:02DL 1357	1h 08m Minneapolis	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	5h 59m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	CLE 05:35 → ATL 07:22DL 2734	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 35m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	CLE 06:05 → BOS 08:07DL 5684 · flown by Republic	3h 08m Boston	BOS 11:15 → SLC 14:20DL 464	10h 15m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	CLE 07:05 → ATL 08:55DL 2838	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 45m	99%	78%
United Details →	CLE 07:00 → ORD 07:36UA 490	1h 19m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	6h 39m	96%	75%
United Details →	CLE 08:55 → DEN 10:10UA 690	1h 30m Denver	DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963	6h 18m	97%	74%
United Details →	CLE 06:07 → IAH 08:17UA 1645	1h 28m Houston	IAH 09:45 → SLC 11:58UA 2242	7h 51m	97%	74%
Delta Details →	CLE 08:05 → ATL 09:55DL 349	4h 00m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	9h 46m	100%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON