Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: United via Denver, leaving 08:40, is the safest bet: 67% chance of reaching Jackson on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 1175 American Flight history →	CLT 09:07	JAC 11:26	21%	5%	1.3%	86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 2 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963	3h 28m Denver	DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537	8h 45m	99%	74%
American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	1h 40m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:15 → JAC 11:17AA 1923	7h 32m	97%	69%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315	7h 42m	95%	69%
United Details →	CLT 06:45 → ORD 07:59UA 1304	55m Chicago	ORD 08:54 → JAC 11:10UA 2176	6h 25m	85%	63%
American Details →	CLT 09:42 → ORD 11:00AA 1038	2h 34m Chicago	ORD 13:34 → JAC 16:06AA 2611	8h 24m	96%	59%
American Details →	CLT 07:22 → DFW 09:14AA 1005	3h 58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:12 → JAC 14:59AA 1883	9h 37m	100%	59%
United Details →	CLT 13:06 → ORD 14:30UA 3442 · flown by Republic	2h 10m Chicago	ORD 16:40 → JAC 18:59UA 1987	7h 53m	87%	38%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON