Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6412 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	CLT 00:06	SHV 01:25	15%	6%	1.0%	58%
OH 5303 PSA	CLT 09:16	SHV 10:40	18%	6%	1.0%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Shreveport on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Shreveport is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 08:55 → SHV 09:48DL 5302 · flown by Endeavor	5h 18m	98%	84%
United Details →	CLT 11:48 → IAH 13:34UA 6236 · flown by Mesa	2h 36m Houston	IAH 16:10 → SHV 17:21UA 6026 · flown by SkyWest	6h 33m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → SHV 12:11DL 3507 · flown by SkyWest	5h 10m	94%	78%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 15:41 → SHV 16:34DL 4111 · flown by SkyWest	5h 15m	98%	77%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157	3h 28m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → SHV 19:52DL 3505 · flown by SkyWest	6h 30m	97%	73%
American Details →	CLT 15:04 → DFW 16:58AA 1709	2h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:08 → SHV 20:17AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest	6h 13m	95%	66%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	46m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:21 → SHV 09:31AA 4009 · flown by Envoy	4h 46m	75%	66%
American Details →	CLT 18:26 → DFW 20:11AA 2815	1h 24m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:35 → SHV 22:44AA 4902 · flown by SkyWest	5h 18m	73%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON