tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, G4 379 at 12:16, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
G4 379 Allegiant CVG 12:16 MYR 13:58 14% 7% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → CVG 07:12 → CLT 08:41AA 429 2h 39m Charlotte CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont 5h 24m 94% 87%
DeltaDetails → CVG 05:34 → ATL 07:02DL 2441 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 09:30 → MYR 10:47DL 3047 5h 13m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → CVG 07:09 → ATL 08:41DL 2302 3h 07m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 5h 51m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → CVG 06:19 → DTW 07:36DL 5307 · flown by Endeavor 1h 09m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 4h 20m 94% 82%
DeltaDetails → CVG 06:00 → BOS 08:22DL 5790 · flown by Republic 1h 03m Boston BOS 09:25 → MYR 11:42DL 3087 5h 42m 95% 79%
DeltaDetails → CVG 17:48 → ATL 19:30DL 1008 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074 6h 07m 98% 71%
AmericanDetails → CVG 10:29 → CLT 12:00AA 430 2h 40m Charlotte CLT 14:40 → MYR 15:53AA 1687 5h 24m 97% 70%
AmericanDetails → CVG 07:53 → PHL 09:43AA 5578 · flown by PSA 1h 10m Philadelphia PHL 10:53 → MYR 13:02AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont 5h 09m 84% 69%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → CVG 07:12 → CLT 08:41AA 429 48m Charlotte CLT 09:29 → MYR 10:29AA 2431 3h 17m 69% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON