Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 2723 at 14:00, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2723 Southwest	DAL 14:00	MKE 16:22	21%	6%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	1h 34m Atlanta	ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151	5h 48m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268	7h 57m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206	7h 33m	98%	77%
Delta Details →	DAL 12:19 → ATL 15:31DL 1115	1h 06m Atlanta	ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:41DL 8888	5h 22m	85%	66%
Southwest Details →	DAL 17:07 → MDW 19:25WN 1414	2h 15m Chicago	MDW 21:40 → MKE 22:31WN 3238	5h 24m	95%	49%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	DAL 08:28 → LAS 09:18WN 1318	52m Las Vegas	LAS 10:10 → MKE 15:38WN 2761	7h 10m	72%	59%
Delta Details →	DAL 18:39 → ATL 22:00DL 2780	52m Atlanta	ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268	5h 17m	68%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON