tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 43% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1662 United Flight history → DEN 17:42 ALB 23:30 43% 17% 0.6% 69%worse than usual
WN 1531 Southwest DEN 19:40 ALB 01:08 43% 12% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:05 → IAD 05:47UA 1924 3h 20m Dulles IAD 09:07 → ALB 10:48UA 4812 · flown by CommuteAir 8h 43m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → DEN 08:00 → IAD 13:26UA 1101 3h 53m Dulles IAD 17:19 → ALB 18:47UA 4926 · flown by CommuteAir 8h 47m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:05 → DTW 10:54DL 1745 3h 41m Detroit DTW 14:35 → ALB 16:15DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 8h 10m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → DEN 06:13 → IAD 11:41UA 1279 59m Dulles IAD 12:40 → ALB 14:08UA 4317 · flown by CommuteAir 5h 55m 94% 80%
UnitedDetails → DEN 13:53 → IAD 19:22UA 347 2h 57m Dulles IAD 22:19 → ALB 00:05 +1UA 4321 · flown by CommuteAir 8h 12m 94% 79%
UnitedDetails → DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377 2h 15m Chicago ORD 11:57 → ALB 14:57UA 2792 6h 57m 99% 74%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → ALB 17:36DL 1241 8h 21m 99% 74%
AmericanDetails → DEN 13:13 → PHL 19:10AA 2491 2h 40m Philadelphia PHL 21:50 → ALB 23:10AA 5877 · flown by Piedmont 7h 57m 98% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → DEN 07:39 → ORD 11:08UA 1928 49m Chicago ORD 11:57 → ALB 14:57UA 2792 5h 18m 72% 54%
UnitedDetails → DEN 13:25 → ORD 17:05UA 617 1h 02m Chicago ORD 18:07 → ALB 21:08UA 1382 5h 43m 61% 30%
AmericanDetails → DEN 14:18 → CLT 19:29AA 1662 46m Charlotte CLT 20:15 → ALB 22:26AA 589 6h 08m 28% 18%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON