tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, UA 2066 at 09:53, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 2066 United DEN 09:53 GSP 14:56 14% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greenville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Greenville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:08 → EWR 05:40UA 1745 2h 50m Newark EWR 08:30 → GSP 10:37UA 3604 · flown by Republic 8h 29m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 1h 13m Atlanta ATL 11:57 → GSP 12:57DL 1725 5h 12m 96% 87%
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:05 → IAD 05:47UA 1924 2h 28m Dulles IAD 08:15 → GSP 09:55UA 4961 · flown by CommuteAir 7h 50m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → DEN 05:00 → DFW 08:05AA 2612 1h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:41 → GSP 13:09AA 3986 · flown by Envoy 6h 09m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 15:07 → GSP 16:07DL 3095 6h 52m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573 2h 44m Charlotte CLT 14:48 → GSP 15:43AA 5440 · flown by PSA 7h 02m 98% 78%
UnitedDetails → DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829 2h 46m Houston IAH 19:50 → GSP 23:19UA 4033 · flown by Mesa 7h 49m 97% 78%
DeltaDetails → DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 19:32 → GSP 20:39DL 1021 7h 47m 99% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → DEN 15:10 → ATL 20:22DL 957 52m Atlanta ATL 21:14 → GSP 22:15DL 3136 5h 05m 66% 51%
UnitedDetails → DEN 10:09 → EWR 16:10UA 2381 49m Newark EWR 16:59 → GSP 19:08UA 3584 · flown by Republic 6h 59m 63% 48%
AmericanDetails → DEN 14:18 → CLT 19:29AA 1662 1h 06m Charlotte CLT 20:35 → GSP 21:30AA 5524 · flown by PSA 5h 12m 63% 46%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON