Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: OO 463 at 11:12 is the safest bet, 21% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 46%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


OO 463 SkyWest	DEN 11:12	PSC 12:50	21%	6%	0.5%	no record
UA 1737 United	DEN 19:10	PSC 20:40	46%	15%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 1 h behind Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	DEN 17:57 → SEA 19:48AS 615	2h 56m Seattle	SEA 22:44 → PSC 23:43AS 2403 · flown by Horizon	6h 46m	97%	83%
Alaska Details →	DEN 11:59 → SEA 13:51AS 682	2h 37m Seattle	SEA 16:28 → PSC 17:27AS 2367 · flown by Horizon	6h 28m	97%	78%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:30 → SEA 08:26DL 1731	2h 09m Seattle	SEA 10:35 → PSC 11:43DL 3992 · flown by SkyWest	6h 13m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	DEN 12:45 → SLC 14:20DL 1553	1h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest	4h 53m	91%	74%
Delta Details →	DEN 18:01 → SLC 19:33DL 1623	3h 42m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712	6h 53m	90%	67%
Delta Details →	DEN 18:39 → SEA 20:41DL 2543	2h 04m Seattle	SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest	6h 14m	82%	61%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON