Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: UA 2082 at 11:15 is the safest bet, 20% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 33%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 2082 United Flight history →	DEN 11:15	RDM 12:53	20%	4%	0.6%	73%
UA 1588 United Flight history →	DEN 20:51	RDM 22:22	33%	9%	0.7%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 05:40 → SLC 07:13DL 2544	3h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → RDM 11:35DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest	6h 55m	99%	89%
American Details →	DEN 07:13 → PHX 08:08AA 1404	2h 42m Phoenix	PHX 10:50 → RDM 13:25AA 3929 · flown by Envoy	7h 12m	97%	84%
Alaska Details →	DEN 17:57 → SEA 19:48AS 615	3h 05m Seattle	SEA 22:53 → RDM 23:59AS 2094 · flown by Horizon	7h 02m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:30 → SEA 08:26DL 1731	2h 56m Seattle	SEA 11:22 → RDM 12:45DL 3735 · flown by SkyWest	7h 15m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	DEN 18:01 → SLC 19:33DL 1623	3h 34m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:07 → RDM 23:58DL 3756 · flown by SkyWest	6h 57m	90%	79%
Delta Details →	DEN 13:03 → SEA 15:05DL 1358	2h 20m Seattle	SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest	6h 40m	97%	74%
United Details →	DEN 05:15 → SFO 06:53UA 2367	3h 35m San Francisco	SFO 10:28 → RDM 12:12UA 2153	7h 57m	99%	72%
Alaska Details →	DEN 11:59 → SEA 13:51AS 682	2h 28m Seattle	SEA 16:19 → RDM 17:32AS 3435 · flown by SkyWest	6h 33m	97%	71%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	DEN 17:54 → SFO 19:40UA 1007	1h 38m San Francisco	SFO 21:18 → RDM 22:59UA 1809	6h 05m	75%	51%
Delta Details →	DEN 18:39 → SEA 20:41DL 2543	54m Seattle	SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest	5h 18m	33%	27%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON