tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 10:52, is the safest bet: 65% chance of reaching Savannah on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 49% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 361 United DEN 09:58 SAV 15:29 14% 5% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720 3h 40m Houston IAH 14:55 → SAV 18:22UA 6355 · flown by Mesa 8h 40m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:00 → MSP 09:00DL 1129 3h 45m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → SAV 16:23DL 2574 8h 23m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 2h 48m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067 6h 53m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014 6h 59m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 7h 43m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → DEN 12:07 → ATL 17:07DL 995 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425 7h 10m 100% 77%
AmericanDetails → DEN 10:01 → CLT 15:12AA 3299 3h 37m Charlotte CLT 18:49 → SAV 20:09AA 5563 · flown by PSA 8h 08m 100% 77%
UnitedDetails → DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 3h 19m Houston IAH 18:28 → SAV 21:55UA 6111 · flown by Mesa 8h 21m 97% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → DEN 13:13 → PHL 19:10AA 2491 50m Philadelphia PHL 20:00 → SAV 22:27AA 5273 · flown by PSA 7h 14m 49% 39%
UnitedDetails → DEN 13:41 → EWR 19:35UA 1505 1h 00m Newark EWR 20:35 → SAV 22:50UA 2645 7h 09m 57% 33%
AmericanDetails → DEN 15:11 → DFW 18:21AA 420 53m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:14 → SAV 22:46AA 1092 5h 35m 51% 30%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON