tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 12:30, is the safest bet: 63% chance of reaching Spokane on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 66% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1381 American Flight history → DFW 10:06 GEG 12:00 29% 8% 0.9% 75%
AA 2757 American DFW 18:47 GEG 20:45 45% 16% 1.1% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401 1h 15m Atlanta ATL 09:49 → GEG 11:30DL 814 8h 10m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276 2h 56m Minneapolis MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437 8h 26m 98% 85%
AlaskaDetails → DFW 09:00 → SEA 11:20AS 365 3h 02m Seattle SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon 8h 25m 98% 80%
AlaskaDetails → DFW 06:24 → SEA 08:45AS 543 1h 10m Seattle SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon 6h 36m 88% 78%
DeltaDetails → DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291 1h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 27m 94% 78%
AmericanDetails → DFW 07:08 → PHX 07:34AA 474 2h 48m Phoenix PHX 10:22 → GEG 13:22AA 540 8h 14m 96% 78%
DeltaDetails → DFW 06:30 → SEA 08:46DL 804 2h 04m Seattle SEA 10:50 → GEG 12:11DL 3754 · flown by SkyWest 7h 41m 97% 74%
AmericanDetails → DFW 05:11 → ORD 07:39AA 1938 3h 38m Chicago ORD 11:17 → GEG 13:19AA 677 10h 08m 100% 70%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → DFW 08:55 → PHX 09:29AA 520 53m Phoenix PHX 10:22 → GEG 13:22AA 540 6h 27m 69% 56%
UnitedDetails → DFW 16:50 → DEN 18:20UA 1303 1h 20m Denver DEN 19:40 → GEG 21:05UA 778 6h 15m 66% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON