Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: AA 2548 at 10:40 is the safest bet, 24% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 45%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2548 American Flight history →	DFW 10:40	PSP 11:42	24%	7%	1.2%	68%
AA 2709 American Flight history →	DFW 19:35	PSP 20:36	45%	12%	2.1%	61%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291	1h 14m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	5h 56m	90%	81%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798	1h 20m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest	6h 03m	89%	73%
American Details →	DFW 07:08 → PHX 07:34AA 474	3h 04m Phoenix	PHX 10:38 → PSP 11:55AA 1884	6h 47m	99%	71%
Alaska Details →	DFW 06:24 → SEA 08:45AS 543	1h 41m Seattle	SEA 10:26 → PSP 13:08AS 457	8h 44m	95%	70%
Alaska Details →	DFW 14:05 → PDX 16:05AS 303	1h 31m Portland	PDX 17:36 → PSP 20:14AS 3022 · flown by SkyWest	8h 09m	86%	64%
American Details →	DFW 13:48 → PHX 14:28AA 1548	2h 47m Phoenix	PHX 17:15 → PSP 18:32AA 2562	6h 44m	100%	56%
American Details →	DFW 17:38 → PHX 18:17AA 2047	2h 06m Phoenix	PHX 20:23 → PSP 21:32AA 4922 · flown by SkyWest	5h 54m	78%	47%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	DFW 15:37 → SFO 17:45UA 2413	53m San Francisco	SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest	6h 49m	55%	41%
United Details →	DFW 16:50 → DEN 18:20UA 1303	1h 01m Denver	DEN 19:21 → PSP 20:39UA 2644	5h 49m	55%	27%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON