tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5392 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record DTW 08:35 CLE 09:37 16% 7% 0.0% 84%
DL 4954 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record DTW 17:42 CLE 18:46 33% 16% 0.8% 67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DTW 10:05 → BOS 12:00DL 2648 2h 54m Boston BOS 14:54 → CLE 17:06DL 5641 · flown by Republic 7h 01m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → CLE 11:32DL 2978 6h 15m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:10DL 2697 2h 28m Minneapolis MSP 15:38 → CLE 18:36DL 1118 6h 16m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → DTW 10:52 → PHL 12:42AA 5876 · flown by Piedmont 2h 44m Philadelphia PHL 15:26 → CLE 17:13AA 5581 · flown by PSA 6h 21m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 11:50 → CLE 13:32DL 775 7h 15m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → DTW 06:00 → CLT 07:51AA 387 2h 13m Charlotte CLT 10:04 → CLE 11:41AA 1294 5h 41m 96% 79%
DeltaDetails → DTW 08:25 → ATL 10:20DL 1653 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 13:36 → CLE 15:20DL 2545 6h 55m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → DTW 16:20 → MSP 17:12DL 2203 3h 39m Minneapolis MSP 20:51 → CLE 23:44DL 1392 7h 24m 99% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → DTW 15:32 → DEN 16:45UA 302 55m Denver DEN 17:40 → CLE 22:41UA 1790 7h 09m 62% 36%
AmericanDetails → DTW 20:05 → CLT 22:04AA 660 46m Charlotte CLT 22:50 → CLE 00:29 +1AA 2260 4h 24m 52% 35%
UnitedDetails → DTW 16:28 → ORD 16:59UA 4673 · flown by SkyWest 54m Chicago ORD 17:53 → CLE 20:21UA 2652 3h 53m 43% 19%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON