Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2001 Delta DTW 08:36 RSW 11:36 13% 3% 0.9% no record
DL 1225 Delta Flight history → DTW 14:28 RSW 17:22 17% 4% 1.1% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258 2h 55m Minneapolis MSP 12:49 → RSW 17:19DL 2219 8h 19m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:00 → LGA 08:47DL 1487 1h 30m New York LGA 10:17 → RSW 13:25DL 379 6h 25m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:01 → MSP 07:53DL 1746 1h 12m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 6h 26m 95% 81%
AmericanDetails → DTW 06:01 → PHL 07:57AA 5414 · flown by PSA 1h 21m Philadelphia PHL 09:18 → RSW 12:17AA 2365 6h 16m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 55m Atlanta ATL 08:05 → RSW 09:43DL 1089 4h 26m 92% 80%
DeltaDetails → DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 5h 54m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 7h 15m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → DTW 10:31 → ATL 12:27DL 2856 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 6h 13m 98% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON