Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4989 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	ECP 13:20	LGA 16:59	21%	11%	5.0%	79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Panama City Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ECP 07:50 → ATL 10:00DL 1674	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525	6h 00m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	ECP 06:00 → ATL 08:13DL 3114	2h 17m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	5h 42m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	ECP 09:12 → ATL 11:20DL 3048	3h 10m Atlanta	ATL 14:30 → LGA 16:50DL 524	6h 38m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	ECP 14:47 → ATL 17:00DL 2823	4h 00m Atlanta	ATL 21:00 → LGA 23:24DL 520	7h 37m	99%	76%
Southwest Details →	ECP 06:17 → DAL 08:24WN 312	3h 01m Dallas	DAL 11:25 → LGA 15:49WN 1385	8h 32m	100%	75%
United Details →	ECP 06:30 → IAH 08:28UA 4255 · flown by CommuteAir	3h 32m Houston	IAH 12:00 → LGA 16:44UA 2181	9h 14m	99%	71%
Delta Details →	ECP 11:38 → ATL 13:51DL 3045	1h 39m Atlanta	ATL 15:30 → LGA 17:49DL 433	5h 11m	95%	70%
United Details →	ECP 11:40 → IAH 13:40UA 4851 · flown by CommuteAir	2h 35m Houston	IAH 16:15 → LGA 20:59UA 334	8h 19m	95%	65%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	ECP 14:47 → ATL 17:00DL 2823	1h 00m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434	4h 40m	75%	55%
American Details →	ECP 12:05 → DFW 14:17AA 3625 · flown by Envoy	49m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:06 → LGA 19:47AA 2434	6h 42m	73%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON