Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, AS 3260 at 17:49, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AS 3260 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history →	EUG 17:49	BUR 20:08	23%	9%	0.9%	87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	EUG 06:00 → SLC 08:53DL 3708 · flown by SkyWest	1h 52m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	5h 54m	98%	84%
United Details →	EUG 06:00 → SFO 07:35UA 335	58m San Francisco	SFO 08:33 → BUR 09:57UA 2363	3h 57m	91%	77%
United Details →	EUG 05:00 → DEN 08:37UA 1241	2h 38m Denver	DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154	7h 48m	98%	76%
Alaska Details →	EUG 13:43 → SEA 14:59AS 2188 · flown by Horizon	1h 59m Seattle	SEA 16:58 → BUR 19:34AS 530	5h 51m	100%	65%
Delta Details →	EUG 16:39 → SLC 19:40DL 4105 · flown by SkyWest	1h 10m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:50 → BUR 21:48DL 339	5h 09m	93%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON