tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3338 SkyWest EUG 08:32 LAX 10:51 16% 6% 0.7% no record
OO 3058 SkyWest EUG 12:58 LAX 15:18 21% 8% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → EUG 05:00 → DEN 08:37UA 1241 1h 25m Denver DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405 6h 34m 95% 79%
DeltaDetails → EUG 06:15 → SEA 07:38DL 4128 · flown by SkyWest 2h 27m Seattle SEA 10:05 → LAX 12:55DL 2769 6h 40m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → EUG 06:00 → SLC 08:53DL 3708 · flown by SkyWest 2h 37m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829 6h 27m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → EUG 06:00 → SFO 07:35UA 335 1h 15m San Francisco SFO 08:50 → LAX 10:17UA 1457 4h 17m 94% 71%
DeltaDetails → EUG 17:45 → SEA 19:04DL 4124 · flown by SkyWest 2h 42m Seattle SEA 21:46 → LAX 00:33 +1DL 2512 6h 48m 98% 68%
DeltaDetails → EUG 16:39 → SLC 19:40DL 4105 · flown by SkyWest 3h 05m Salt Lake City SLC 22:45 → LAX 23:42DL 1197 7h 03m 100% 64%
AlaskaDetails → EUG 13:43 → SEA 14:59AS 2188 · flown by Horizon 2h 11m Seattle SEA 17:10 → LAX 19:49AS 1390 6h 06m 100% 62%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → EUG 13:43 → SEA 14:59AS 2188 · flown by Horizon 1h 00m Seattle SEA 15:59 → LAX 18:44AS 1300 5h 01m 69% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON