Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 4191 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record	EWR 08:30	CAE 10:39	15%	5%	0.0%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353	1h 50m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → CAE 11:14DL 5091 · flown by Endeavor	5h 16m	96%	89%
Delta Details →	EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 12:00 → CAE 12:59DL 2944	5h 54m	98%	85%
American Details →	EWR 04:55 → CLT 06:48AA 1113	2h 47m Charlotte	CLT 09:35 → CAE 10:44AA 6042 · flown by Piedmont	5h 49m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 14:05 → CAE 15:06DL 3193	6h 36m	98%	80%
American Details →	EWR 07:30 → CLT 09:35AA 1575	3h 27m Charlotte	CLT 13:02 → CAE 14:07AA 6047 · flown by Piedmont	6h 37m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	EWR 10:31 → ATL 12:53DL 2325	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 16:15 → CAE 17:22DL 3032	6h 51m	99%	74%
Delta Details →	EWR 16:29 → ATL 19:14DL 2322	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 22:39 → CAE 23:43DL 3029	7h 14m	97%	74%
Delta Details →	EWR 12:00 → ATL 14:30DL 2397	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 17:33 → CAE 18:40DL 2193	6h 40m	98%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	EWR 16:29 → ATL 19:14DL 2322	55m Atlanta	ATL 20:09 → CAE 21:16DL 3008	4h 47m	70%	52%
Delta Details →	EWR 19:06 → ATL 21:29DL 2340	1h 10m Atlanta	ATL 22:39 → CAE 23:43DL 3029	4h 37m	61%	47%
United Details →	EWR 14:45 → ORD 16:28UA 2788	1h 27m Chicago	ORD 17:55 → CAE 21:16UA 4478 · flown by GoJet	6h 31m	70%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON