Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 4419 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record	EWR 14:39	CHA 17:02	30%	20%	2.8%	70%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	EWR 06:00 → ORD 07:41UA 530	2h 44m Chicago	ORD 10:25 → CHA 13:16UA 4543 · flown by GoJet	7h 16m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 11:33 → CHA 12:22DL 1737	5h 17m	97%	81%
American Details →	EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:01AA 2505	3h 24m Charlotte	CLT 11:25 → CHA 12:54AA 6127 · flown by Piedmont	6h 54m	97%	76%
Delta Details →	EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 13:13 → CHA 14:02DL 3141	5h 32m	96%	74%
Delta Details →	EWR 10:31 → ATL 12:53DL 2325	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → CHA 17:41DL 3124	7h 10m	99%	74%
Delta Details →	EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 19:35 → CHA 20:32DL 1722	7h 03m	98%	73%
United Details →	EWR 07:00 → IAH 09:45UA 2438	3h 05m Houston	IAH 12:50 → CHA 16:03UA 5091 · flown by SkyWest	9h 03m	99%	71%
Delta Details →	EWR 15:21 → ATL 17:54DL 2312	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → CHA 22:12DL 1366	6h 51m	95%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	EWR 19:29 → CLT 21:22AA 1330	1h 13m Charlotte	CLT 22:35 → CHA 00:05 +1AA 6085 · flown by Piedmont	4h 36m	62%	39%
United Details →	EWR 14:45 → ORD 16:28UA 2788	1h 22m Chicago	ORD 17:50 → CHA 20:49UA 4507 · flown by GoJet	6h 04m	66%	39%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON