Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: G4 507 at 09:01 is the safest bet, 17% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 31%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


G4 507 Allegiant	FLL 09:01	ALB 12:15	17%	7%	0.8%	no record
B6 88 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 19:55	ALB 23:13	31%	16%	1.0%	67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 09m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → ALB 11:47DL 5522 · flown by Endeavor	5h 46m	96%	85%
American Details →	FLL 06:55 → PHL 09:53AA 2089	3h 12m Philadelphia	PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont	7h 36m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168	1h 51m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137	5h 59m	98%	85%
Southwest Details →	FLL 12:46 → BWI 15:30WN 3368	1h 50m Baltimore	BWI 17:20 → ALB 18:47WN 179	6h 01m	100%	77%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:00 → LGA 10:00DL 2133	1h 37m New York	LGA 11:37 → ALB 12:47DL 5268 · flown by Endeavor	5h 47m	97%	76%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 15:13 → ALB 17:36DL 1241	7h 40m	99%	76%
American Details →	FLL 06:00 → CLT 07:59AA 1474	1h 10m Charlotte	CLT 09:09 → ALB 11:19AA 710	5h 19m	91%	75%
American Details →	FLL 10:47 → PHL 13:52AA 1333	2h 48m Philadelphia	PHL 16:40 → ALB 18:04AA 6024 · flown by Piedmont	7h 17m	98%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	1h 03m Atlanta	ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584	5h 31m	70%	51%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON