Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, B6 460 at 20:55, with a 39% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 460 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 20:55	BDL 23:59	39%	18%	1.4%	63%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 34m Detroit	DTW 10:30 → BDL 12:13DL 2163	6h 13m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → BDL 12:48DL 1082	7h 25m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 08m Atlanta	ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739	6h 20m	98%	79%
American Details →	FLL 06:00 → CLT 07:59AA 1474	3h 31m Charlotte	CLT 11:30 → BDL 13:33AA 2741	7h 33m	95%	76%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673	2h 21m Minneapolis	MSP 20:00 → BDL 23:39DL 2871	8h 52m	97%	74%
Southwest Details →	FLL 12:46 → BWI 15:30WN 3368	1h 49m Baltimore	BWI 17:19 → BDL 18:40WN 952	5h 54m	100%	73%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:44 → ATL 17:54DL 1341	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011	8h 10m	98%	70%
Delta Details →	FLL 16:40 → DTW 19:46DL 1294	1h 44m Detroit	DTW 21:30 → BDL 23:14DL 2989	6h 34m	90%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	1h 02m Atlanta	ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739	5h 12m	70%	56%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:44 → ATL 17:54DL 1341	1h 02m Atlanta	ATL 18:56 → BDL 21:19DL 2504	5h 35m	73%	50%
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	56m Atlanta	ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011	5h 26m	62%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON