tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, B6 1130 at 15:55, with a 35% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 1130 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 15:55 CHS 17:39 35% 14% 1.5% 75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168 1h 48m Atlanta ATL 09:00 → CHS 10:13DL 3091 4h 50m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107 5h 27m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 1h 09m Detroit DTW 10:05 → CHS 12:20DL 5431 · flown by Endeavor 6h 20m 96% 83%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381 5h 57m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179 6h 02m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:00 → LGA 10:00DL 2133 2h 29m New York LGA 12:29 → CHS 14:47DL 1404 7h 47m 99% 76%
JetBlueDetails → FLL 06:00 → BOS 09:14B6 690 2h 28m Boston BOS 11:42 → CHS 14:20B6 267 8h 20m 98% 75%
UnitedDetails → FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722 1h 30m Houston IAH 12:15 → CHS 16:02UA 6295 · flown by Mesa 7h 02m 93% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063 1h 05m Atlanta ATL 17:39 → CHS 18:54DL 3179 4h 24m 75% 53%
UnitedDetails → FLL 17:44 → EWR 20:55UA 279 49m Newark EWR 21:44 → CHS 23:52UA 2796 6h 08m 51% 30%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON