Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 1914 at 18:59, with a 34% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1914 Southwest	FLL 18:59	CMH 21:42	34%	12%	0.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	3h 24m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → CMH 13:27DL 5774 · flown by Republic	7h 27m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168	2h 58m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → CMH 11:48DL 1522	6h 25m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750	7h 05m	99%	87%
United Details →	FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314	3h 30m Houston	IAH 12:15 → CMH 16:05UA 4072 · flown by Mesa	9h 05m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 16:40 → DTW 19:46DL 1294	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 22:50 → CMH 23:56DL 5634 · flown by Republic	7h 16m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 14:19 → CMH 15:58DL 2892	6h 02m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:00 → LGA 10:00DL 2133	1h 43m New York	LGA 11:43 → CMH 13:39DL 5669 · flown by Republic	6h 39m	97%	84%
American Details →	FLL 06:55 → PHL 09:53AA 2089	4h 00m Philadelphia	PHL 13:53 → CMH 15:36AA 3241	8h 41m	99%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	51m Atlanta	ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786	4h 33m	70%	55%
Delta Details →	FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413	1h 07m Atlanta	ATL 19:54 → CMH 21:33DL 1545	4h 47m	71%	54%
American Details →	FLL 16:38 → DFW 19:00AA 638	50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:50 → CMH 23:20AA 641	6h 42m	53%	26%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON