Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: B6 814 at 06:55 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 27%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 814 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 06:55	HPN 09:57	10%	4%	0.9%	80%
B6 914 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 19:55	HPN 22:59	27%	13%	1.4%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 34m Detroit	DTW 10:30 → HPN 12:20DL 4645 · flown by Endeavor	6h 20m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168	2h 53m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → HPN 12:21DL 2973	6h 58m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:10 → HPN 14:36DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	8h 03m	99%	80%
American Details →	FLL 06:00 → CLT 07:59AA 1474	3h 07m Charlotte	CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA	7h 13m	95%	73%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 15:50 → HPN 18:16DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	7h 12m	97%	72%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	7h 55m	96%	71%
American Details →	FLL 11:22 → DCA 14:01AA 1893	2h 59m Washington	DCA 17:00 → HPN 18:28AA 5236 · flown by PSA	7h 06m	100%	64%
JetBlue Details →	FLL 12:05 → SJU 14:42B6 1453	3h 02m San Juan	SJU 17:44 → HPN 21:41B6 2602	9h 36m	95%	63%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413	1h 12m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	5h 39m	73%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON