tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 22–30% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1413 Southwest FLL 14:30 IND 17:17 22% 10% 0.9% no record
G4 611 Allegiant FLL 18:26 IND 21:16 30% 15% 1.1% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168 1h 51m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → IND 10:33DL 2952 5h 10m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:00 → LGA 10:00DL 2133 1h 45m New York LGA 11:45 → IND 14:06DL 5642 · flown by Republic 7h 06m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → IND 12:36DL 3013 6h 03m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314 3h 10m Houston IAH 11:55 → IND 15:25UA 1687 8h 25m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 00m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → IND 15:19DL 3134 5h 23m 97% 80%
AmericanDetails → FLL 06:55 → PHL 09:53AA 2089 52m Philadelphia PHL 10:45 → IND 12:55AA 5240 · flown by PSA 6h 00m 92% 79%
DeltaDetails → FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 23:04 → IND 00:41 +1DL 2657 6h 13m 94% 77%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 22:01 → IND 23:41DL 3153 6h 55m 97% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 54m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → IND 15:19DL 3134 4h 15m 59% 48%
UnitedDetails → FLL 15:52 → EWR 18:59UA 1800 58m Newark EWR 19:57 → IND 22:23UA 3447 · flown by Republic 6h 31m 66% 48%
AmericanDetails → FLL 17:37 → DFW 19:57AA 1373 47m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:44 → IND 23:58AA 766 6h 21m 50% 26%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON