Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 32–35% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 2118 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 13:20	JAX 14:40	32%	19%	2.2%	68%
B6 18 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 21:11	JAX 22:42	35%	19%	2.9%	27%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jacksonville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168	3h 36m Atlanta	ATL 10:48 → JAX 12:00DL 2923	6h 37m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → JAX 13:45DL 3024	6h 05m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 13:53 → JAX 15:05DL 2990	5h 09m	98%	78%
American Details →	FLL 06:00 → CLT 07:59AA 1474	56m Charlotte	CLT 08:55 → JAX 10:22AA 1466	4h 22m	91%	76%
United Details →	FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722	1h 25m Houston	IAH 12:10 → JAX 15:37UA 4048 · flown by Mesa	6h 37m	92%	76%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 16:41 → JAX 17:56DL 2440	6h 52m	98%	72%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 17:51 → JAX 19:13DL 2189	7h 05m	99%	70%
American Details →	FLL 07:44 → CLT 09:53AA 2087	1h 32m Charlotte	CLT 11:25 → JAX 12:51AA 1925	5h 07m	91%	69%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	59m Atlanta	ATL 13:53 → JAX 15:05DL 2990	4h 01m	68%	53%
Southwest Details →	FLL 12:46 → BWI 15:30WN 3368	1h 00m Baltimore	BWI 16:30 → JAX 18:44WN 1036	5h 58m	69%	50%
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	58m Atlanta	ATL 21:33 → JAX 22:49DL 2315	4h 21m	66%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON