Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 1066 at 15:20, with a 30% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1066 Southwest	FLL 15:20	MCI 17:37	30%	11%	1.1%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168	1h 18m Atlanta	ATL 08:30 → MCI 09:38DL 2471	5h 15m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	3h 29m Detroit	DTW 12:25 → MCI 13:24DL 2741	8h 24m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	1h 33m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → MCI 11:11DL 2908	5h 38m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 13:24 → MCI 14:29DL 1443	7h 49m	98%	79%
United Details →	FLL 09:55 → EWR 12:53UA 2387	1h 54m Newark	EWR 14:47 → MCI 17:02UA 3436 · flown by Republic	8h 07m	100%	77%
United Details →	FLL 12:13 → IAD 14:49UA 1421	3h 20m Dulles	IAD 18:09 → MCI 20:02UA 1165	8h 49m	96%	76%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → MCI 16:30DL 1660	7h 34m	99%	75%
American Details →	FLL 06:00 → CLT 07:59AA 1474	3h 29m Charlotte	CLT 11:28 → MCI 13:00AA 3233	8h 00m	95%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413	58m Atlanta	ATL 19:45 → MCI 20:56DL 1130	5h 10m	63%	43%
United Details →	FLL 12:26 → ORD 14:55UA 1755	57m Chicago	ORD 15:52 → MCI 17:36UA 664	6h 10m	58%	31%
United Details →	FLL 17:44 → EWR 20:55UA 279	48m Newark	EWR 21:43 → MCI 23:59UA 1399	7h 15m	47%	26%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON