Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, B6 1800 at 20:32, with a 33% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1800 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 20:32	ORF 22:57	33%	15%	2.6%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Norfolk on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168	2h 34m Atlanta	ATL 09:46 → ORF 11:28DL 2755	6h 05m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 05m Detroit	DTW 10:01 → ORF 11:57DL 3066	5h 57m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 12:28 → ORF 14:14DL 2925	6h 34m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 13:53 → ORF 15:34DL 1101	5h 38m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:00 → LGA 10:00DL 2133	2h 12m New York	LGA 12:12 → ORF 13:32DL 5329 · flown by Endeavor	6h 32m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	3h 10m Atlanta	ATL 23:45 → ORF 01:19 +1DL 2338	6h 51m	97%	76%
Southwest Details →	FLL 12:46 → BWI 15:30WN 3368	2h 20m Baltimore	BWI 17:50 → ORF 18:56WN 1100	6h 10m	100%	75%
American Details →	FLL 06:00 → CLT 07:59AA 1474	3h 31m Charlotte	CLT 11:30 → ORF 12:52AA 1323	6h 52m	95%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	59m Atlanta	ATL 13:53 → ORF 15:34DL 1101	4h 30m	66%	52%
Frontier Details →	FLL 06:38 → ATL 08:42F9 2173	46m Atlanta	ATL 09:28 → ORF 11:15F9 3072	4h 37m	61%	47%
American Details →	FLL 16:38 → DFW 19:00AA 638	59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:59 → ORF 00:03 +1AA 1379	7h 25m	65%	37%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON