Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:23, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 54% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 745 Delta Flight history →	FLL 18:40	SLC 21:38	34%	10%	1.7%	76%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168	1h 03m Atlanta	ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830	6h 51m	95%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	1h 43m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 37m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	3h 24m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	10h 11m	99%	80%
American Details →	FLL 06:19 → PHX 08:21AA 441	2h 00m Phoenix	PHX 10:21 → SLC 13:02AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	8h 43m	97%	79%
United Details →	FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722	3h 40m Houston	IAH 14:25 → SLC 16:40UA 6207 · flown by Mesa	9h 40m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 10m	97%	75%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:06 → JFK 10:00DL 2165	1h 14m New York	JFK 11:14 → SLC 14:21DL 917	9h 15m	96%	74%
American Details →	FLL 06:00 → CLT 07:59AA 1474	1h 33m Charlotte	CLT 09:32 → SLC 11:53AA 1895	7h 53m	94%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	1h 01m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	6h 47m	71%	51%
Delta Details →	FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413	47m Atlanta	ATL 19:34 → SLC 21:37DL 660	6h 51m	54%	34%
United Details →	FLL 15:30 → DEN 18:18UA 1417	1h 05m Denver	DEN 19:23 → SLC 20:56UA 2769	7h 26m	66%	30%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON