Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: G4 494 at 07:30 is the safest bet, 15% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 33%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


G4 494 Allegiant	FLL 07:30	SYR 10:40	15%	7%	0.9%	no record
B6 1738 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 16:30	SYR 19:40	33%	15%	1.2%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	2h 31m Detroit	DTW 11:27 → SYR 12:55DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	6h 55m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:12DL 1168	2h 03m Atlanta	ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375	6h 02m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 52m Atlanta	ATL 12:19 → SYR 14:29DL 2991	7h 56m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:05 → LGA 18:19DL 1181	3h 52m New York	LGA 22:11 → SYR 23:25DL 5524 · flown by Endeavor	8h 20m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	8h 03m	99%	75%
American Details →	FLL 06:00 → CLT 07:59AA 1474	1h 22m Charlotte	CLT 09:21 → SYR 11:28AA 2730	5h 28m	91%	72%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673	3h 03m Minneapolis	MSP 20:42 → SYR 23:56DL 2546	9h 09m	97%	72%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:44 → ATL 17:54DL 1341	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 21:35 → SYR 23:48DL 2123	8h 04m	98%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	FLL 18:31 → BOS 21:46B6 70	1h 40m Boston	BOS 23:26 → SYR 00:53 +1B6 845	6h 22m	74%	54%
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	1h 00m Atlanta	ATL 21:35 → SYR 23:48DL 2123	5h 20m	66%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON