tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: WN 2670 at 11:09 is the safest bet, 16% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 26%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2670 Southwest HOU 11:09 IND 14:28 16% 4% 0.6% no record
WN 2748 Southwest HOU 20:25 IND 23:42 26% 9% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557 2h 00m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → IND 12:36DL 3013 5h 36m 97% 83%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 07:08 → DAL 08:19WN 4 1h 01m Dallas DAL 09:20 → IND 12:29WN 268 4h 21m 94% 83%
DeltaDetails → HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 17:25 → IND 19:03DL 3120 7h 23m 99% 76%
DeltaDetails → HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 23:04 → IND 00:41 +1DL 2657 6h 24m 93% 76%
DeltaDetails → HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:29DL 1195 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 20:51 → IND 22:27DL 1482 7h 03m 95% 73%
AmericanDetails → HOU 09:29 → DFW 10:46AA 4036 · flown by Envoy 2h 52m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:38 → IND 16:48AA 1450 6h 19m 100% 64%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 16:00 → DAL 17:10WN 40 3h 25m Dallas DAL 20:35 → IND 23:46WN 2523 6h 46m 99% 64%
AmericanDetails → HOU 12:46 → DFW 14:09AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest 2h 07m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:16 → IND 19:41AA 1413 5h 55m 89% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON