tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 2122 at 20:25, with a 25% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2122 Southwest HOU 20:25 OMA 22:43 25% 7% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → HOU 07:08 → DAL 08:19WN 4 1h 19m Dallas DAL 09:38 → OMA 11:31WN 380 4h 23m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:46DL 1125 6h 46m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364 7h 08m 97% 75%
AmericanDetails → HOU 09:29 → DFW 10:45AA 4036 · flown by Envoy 3h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:21 → OMA 16:22AA 2269 6h 53m 100% 67%
DeltaDetails → HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:29DL 1195 2h 01m Atlanta ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707 6h 30m 90% 65%
DeltaDetails → HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381 1h 56m Atlanta ATL 22:28 → OMA 23:49DL 2010 6h 32m 89% 64%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 16:00 → DAL 17:10WN 40 3h 25m Dallas DAL 20:35 → OMA 22:34WN 4385 6h 34m 99% 62%
AmericanDetails → HOU 12:46 → DFW 14:09AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest 3h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:11 → OMA 19:09AA 2270 6h 23m 92% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON