Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 1627 at 17:30, with a 29% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1627 Southwest	HOU 17:30	SAV 20:52	29%	7%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112	6h 22m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	5h 36m	91%	73%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:29DL 1195	2h 37m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	5h 53m	93%	72%
Southwest Details →	HOU 12:30 → DAL 13:40WN 26	1h 35m Dallas	DAL 15:15 → SAV 18:42WN 3527	5h 12m	93%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON