Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, B6 2601 at 08:00, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 2601 JetBlue Flight history →	HPN 08:00	SJU 11:51	16%	7%	1.3%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Juan on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HPN 06:29 → ATL 08:46DL 2379	59m Atlanta	ATL 09:45 → SJU 13:32DL 1882	7h 03m	90%	74%
Delta Details →	HPN 12:49 → ATL 15:18DL 2973	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 18:45 → SJU 22:29DL 1861	9h 40m	99%	72%
JetBlue Details →	HPN 07:30 → MCO 10:14B6 2695	2h 19m Orlando	MCO 12:33 → SJU 15:38B6 1133	8h 08m	97%	67%
American Details →	HPN 07:55 → CLT 09:58AA 5403 · flown by PSA	1h 05m Charlotte	CLT 11:03 → SJU 14:50AA 783	6h 55m	89%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON