tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5210 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record HSV 07:05 LGA 10:32 12% 3% 5.0% 88%
DL 5496 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record HSV 16:40 LGA 20:06 49% 24% 18.2% 51%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Huntsville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → HSV 05:30 → ATL 07:31DL 2556 59m Atlanta ATL 08:30 → LGA 10:41DL 513 4h 11m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → HSV 07:12 → ATL 09:17DL 3009 3h 13m Atlanta ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525 6h 38m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → HSV 06:00 → DTW 08:58DL 5382 · flown by Endeavor 3h 17m Detroit DTW 12:15 → LGA 14:03DL 1669 7h 03m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → HSV 08:50 → ATL 10:50DL 3036 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460 6h 00m 100% 80%
AmericanDetails → HSV 08:06 → DCA 11:08AA 5442 · flown by PSA 2h 51m Washington DCA 13:59 → LGA 15:31AA 4730 · flown by Republic 6h 25m 97% 74%
DeltaDetails → HSV 16:20 → ATL 18:25DL 3026 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 21:00 → LGA 23:24DL 520 6h 04m 95% 73%
DeltaDetails → HSV 12:35 → ATL 14:41DL 2182 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434 6h 52m 98% 72%
DeltaDetails → HSV 13:11 → ATL 15:20DL 1708 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 19:00 → LGA 21:28DL 468 7h 17m 98% 71%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → HSV 09:35 → DFW 11:39AA 3476 · flown by Envoy 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:33 → LGA 17:05AA 672 6h 30m 75% 48%
DeltaDetails → HSV 14:03 → DTW 16:58DL 5041 · flown by Endeavor 1h 01m Detroit DTW 17:59 → LGA 19:50DL 2604 4h 47m 61% 44%
DeltaDetails → HSV 14:50 → ATL 16:57DL 4760 · flown by Endeavor 1h 03m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434 4h 37m 58% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON