tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4839 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record IAH 20:34 AMA 22:30 16% 6% 0.6% 84%
UA 4817 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record IAH 12:25 AMA 14:21 17% 5% 0.0% 83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Amarillo on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → IAH 05:02 → DFW 06:19AA 2551 2h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:27 → AMA 09:49AA 3920 · flown by Envoy 4h 47m 94% 80%
AmericanDetails → IAH 08:54 → DFW 10:07AA 3598 · flown by Envoy 3h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:22 → AMA 14:46AA 3383 · flown by Envoy 5h 52m 94% 75%
UnitedDetails → IAH 09:32 → DEN 11:08UA 1450 3h 02m Denver DEN 14:10 → AMA 16:41UA 5233 · flown by SkyWest 7h 09m 97% 67%
AmericanDetails → IAH 10:13 → DFW 11:29AA 1407 3h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:35 → AMA 15:59AA 3613 · flown by Envoy 5h 46m 81% 64%
AmericanDetails → IAH 19:17 → DFW 20:32AA 2438 2h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:40 → AMA 00:07 +1AA 3990 · flown by Envoy 4h 50m 84% 63%
UnitedDetails → IAH 15:00 → DEN 16:43UA 2767 2h 37m Denver DEN 19:20 → AMA 21:50UA 5494 · flown by SkyWest 6h 50m 97% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON