tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 19–29% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1936 United Flight history → IAH 11:59 OMA 14:25 19% 7% 0.7% 84%
UA 8246 United IAH 19:55 OMA 22:29 29% 13% 1.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:46DL 1125 7h 06m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:30 → DTW 09:18DL 1389 2h 57m Detroit DTW 12:15 → OMA 13:22DL 3762 · flown by SkyWest 7h 52m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 3h 26m Denver DEN 10:13 → OMA 12:58UA 1633 7h 43m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → IAH 06:30 → MSP 09:13DL 1050 1h 26m Minneapolis MSP 10:39 → OMA 11:57DL 3838 · flown by SkyWest 5h 27m 93% 80%
DeltaDetails → IAH 09:41 → ATL 12:48DL 1585 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364 8h 07m 99% 77%
UnitedDetails → IAH 09:32 → DEN 11:08UA 1450 2h 42m Denver DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327 6h 52m 96% 71%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:10 → ORD 09:05UA 2616 3h 35m Chicago ORD 12:40 → OMA 14:17UA 247 8h 07m 100% 70%
AmericanDetails → IAH 06:02 → DFW 07:28AA 700 2h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:30 → OMA 11:28AA 2823 5h 26m 93% 69%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → IAH 15:20 → DTW 18:58DL 1307 47m Detroit DTW 19:45 → OMA 20:53DL 3715 · flown by SkyWest 5h 33m 66% 55%
UnitedDetails → IAH 18:19 → DEN 20:14UA 1654 58m Denver DEN 21:12 → OMA 23:50UA 1787 5h 31m 66% 37%
AmericanDetails → IAH 19:17 → DFW 20:32AA 2438 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:30 → OMA 23:22AA 2628 4h 05m 54% 27%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON