tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 21–27% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 494 United IAH 09:27 RSW 13:02 21% 7% 1.1% no record
UA 2095 United IAH 18:25 RSW 21:49 27% 8% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069 1h 35m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 5h 31m 98% 78%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:00 → EWR 10:33UA 1797 1h 23m Newark EWR 11:56 → RSW 15:05UA 1810 8h 05m 95% 77%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → ATL 10:04DL 1315 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 35m 98% 77%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 2h 48m Denver DEN 09:35 → RSW 15:22UA 2601 9h 07m 98% 76%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 2h 49m Chicago ORD 10:48 → RSW 14:47UA 2137 8h 43m 100% 75%
DeltaDetails → IAH 09:41 → ATL 12:48DL 1585 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 6h 03m 97% 74%
AmericanDetails → IAH 06:01 → CLT 09:43AA 2011 1h 14m Charlotte CLT 10:57 → RSW 13:02AA 2018 6h 01m 93% 71%
AmericanDetails → IAH 06:02 → DFW 07:28AA 700 2h 04m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:32 → RSW 13:22AA 2740 6h 20m 93% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → IAH 18:34 → ATL 21:54DL 1223 46m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217 4h 49m 54% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON