tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: WN 2839 at 13:20 is the safest bet, 25% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 35%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2839 Southwest IND 13:20 FLL 16:05 25% 7% 1.0% no record
G4 605 Allegiant IND 15:02 FLL 17:48 35% 12% 2.3% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IND 07:00 → MSP 07:49DL 2757 1h 01m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 6h 25m 93% 82%
DeltaDetails → IND 06:09 → LGA 08:25DL 5737 · flown by Republic 2h 30m New York LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181 7h 45m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → IND 05:55 → ATL 07:30DL 3105 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 7h 25m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → IND 05:35 → IAD 07:19UA 3997 · flown by Mesa 1h 01m Dulles IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825 5h 32m 97% 77%
DeltaDetails → IND 06:55 → ATL 08:36DL 3106 1h 49m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 5h 28m 98% 76%
DeltaDetails → IND 07:47 → DTW 09:03DL 4897 · flown by Endeavor 3h 27m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 7h 47m 97% 76%
DeltaDetails → IND 08:05 → ATL 09:41DL 1901 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 12:43 → FLL 14:39DL 1341 6h 34m 99% 76%
UnitedDetails → IND 09:25 → IAH 11:02UA 6223 · flown by Mesa 3h 50m Houston IAH 14:52 → FLL 18:41UA 1424 9h 16m 100% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → IND 15:45 → DEN 16:41UA 377 1h 04m Denver DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:49UA 1374 8h 04m 74% 49%
AmericanDetails → IND 14:11 → CLT 15:51AA 3044 1h 07m Charlotte CLT 16:58 → FLL 19:11AA 1364 5h 00m 74% 45%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON