Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: B6 17 at 07:17 is the safest bet, 11% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 30%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 17 JetBlue Flight history →	JAX 07:17	FLL 08:50	11%	7%	1.7%	91%
B6 2117 JetBlue Flight history →	JAX 13:43	FLL 15:15	30%	13%	2.2%	89%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAX 05:30 → ATL 06:42DL 2722	1h 23m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094	4h 29m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	JAX 07:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2450	3h 10m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	6h 20m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	JAX 08:17 → ATL 09:34DL 2569	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 12:43 → FLL 14:39DL 1341	6h 22m	99%	76%
American Details →	JAX 06:18 → CLT 07:45AA 1834	3h 14m Charlotte	CLT 10:59 → FLL 13:01AA 2585	6h 43m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	JAX 07:05 → JFK 09:29DL 4959 · flown by Endeavor	1h 45m New York	JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305	7h 19m	96%	73%
Delta Details →	JAX 09:41 → ATL 10:54DL 2328	2h 51m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413	6h 00m	99%	73%
Delta Details →	JAX 11:47 → DTW 14:08DL 2333	1h 48m Detroit	DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037	7h 13m	97%	72%
United Details →	JAX 11:37 → IAH 13:11UA 4039 · flown by Mesa	1h 41m Houston	IAH 14:52 → FLL 18:41UA 1424	7h 04m	96%	71%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	JAX 15:59 → LGA 18:28DL 5461 · flown by Endeavor	1h 01m New York	LGA 19:29 → FLL 22:52DL 2308	6h 53m	62%	43%
Frontier Details →	JAX 19:40 → ATL 21:07F9 1549	1h 12m Atlanta	ATL 22:19 → FLL 00:18 +1F9 3014	4h 38m	70%	34%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON